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Most-reacted post we have seen: Bonds Beyond Bessent’s control — 115 reactions on Sep 2, 2026.
CHAPTERS: Here are the chapters for this video: 0:00 Introduction: Rising bond yields and global debt crisis outlook. 0:56 The situation in Iran and potential for conflict. 3:58 Impact of oil price and energy shortages on the global economy. 11:30 Risks in the tech sector and data center expansion. 13:43 Geopolitical shifts: SEO summit and shifting alliances. 16:13 Monetary and fiscal policy, gold market, and the Japanese carry trade. 20:00 Central banks, gold property rights, and the New York Fed. 28:44 The carry trade and US Treasury debt holdings. 37:07 Analysis of the Japanese Yen and…
Earlier this year, the Netherland’s central bank (DNB) moved 78 tonnes of its gold held by the New York Fed and a further 8 tonnes from Ottawa to London. Interestingly, DNB sold 59 tonnes of gold stored in New York and bought the equivalent amount which it stored at the Bank of England. The remainder amounting to 27 tonnes were shipped from New York and Ottawa to DNB’s vault, and an equivalent but different 27 tonnes were then shipped to London. Ottawa was probably a tidying-up exercise. Presumably, the 27 tonnes were to be examined and a metal audit made. If so, then at the least the DNB…
The US government already faces a funding crisis which has been concealed by US hedge funds and others round-tripping from the yen to the dollar in a carry-trade. It has concealed the seriousness of the US debt problem which is now being unmasked. Additionally, the current administration seems to go out of its way to upset its genuine creditors. This is not the way to win friends and influence people, serving only to strike fear into the dwindling number of sycophantic governments, most of which have debt problems of their own. And Scott Bessent, the Treasury Secretary deliberately set off a…
“The global bond market is flashing increasingly serious warning signs as rising yields, enormous government debt, and shrinking demand collide with an escalating energy shock. Alasdair Macleod ( MacleodFinance Substack Dedicated to explaining why gold is money and the rest is credit. Dedicated to explaining economics relevant to the preservation of wealth. And dedicated to explaining geopolitical developments relevant to investors. By Alasdair Macleod ) warns that the unraveling Japan carry trade could put additional pressure on U.S. Treasury financing while exposing vulnerabilities…
It started with Scott Bessent at the US Treasury intervening in the JPY rate doing a favour for Japan’s finance ministry in late-July. As the chart above shows (scale inverted) the yen rallied sharply, did little for a month and this week suddenly rose again. Over the period of a month, the yen has rallied 5% against the dollar. Not only will Japan’s institutions be reviewing foreign bond and equity investments, but the carry-traders buying US treasury bills could become forced sellers to cover their yen shorts. This matters, because the only way in which T-bill demand can be maintained is…
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