Graham’s Newsletter

Substack by Graham Stephan · launched Feb 25, 2022

Find great deals, stay on top of the market, and build wealth the healthy way

Top in Finance
#60
Subscribers
42K

rounded by Substack

Followers
47K
Recommends
10

other newsletters

What they write about

Market and policy explainers aimed at a general audience. Recurring subjects include the Treasury and bond markets, tax proposals, currency interventions in Asia, housing affordability and the case for and against property investing, and whether artificial-intelligence valuations constitute a bubble.

  • bond market
  • tax policy
  • housing
  • real estate
  • currencies
  • market commentary

Recent examples: No taxes on capital gains from homes? · The Fed Rate Hike is here

Written from Graham’s Newsletter’s own published post titles and openings in Sep 11, 2026. It describes the subjects the newsletter covers, not its views, and is not investment advice.

Growth history

Subscribers (thousands, nightly)

41K on Sep 10, 2026 → 42K on Sep 30, 2026

Followers (thousands, nightly)

Rank in Substack’s finance leaderboard: #60 today · #73 a week ago

Stats worth sharing

Tracked since Sep 10, 2026 — 21 daily snapshots so far. The card below is built from what we track and refreshes nightly.

Percentile
Top 12%

of 525 ranked finance newsletters

Best rank seen
#60

on Sep 30, 2026

Rank, 7 days
+13 places
Subscribers added
+1.0K

since tracking began

Followers added
+999

since tracking began

Posts
5

last 30 days

Reactions per post
71

average, recent posts

Reactions tracked
1.1K

across 16 posts

Most-reacted post we have seen: The US is preparing for a $1 Trillion bailout — 380 reactions on Aug 31, 2026.

Graham’s Newsletter — rank, subscribers and growth, tracked by Stock Market Watch
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Recent posts

  • No taxes on capital gains from homes?

    This is unbelievable. I got wind of some apparently secret and behind-the-scenes discussions that could allow homeowners to pay no capital gains tax on the first $1 million of profit. And the rumor is that this applies to every kind of real estate, not just residential. Brian Griffini, a real estate expert and recent guest on The Dave Ramsey Show said this : Midterms are coming. Now they’re actually talking about actually doing an executive order in the next couple of weeks on the capital gains thing that didn’t get put through the first time. So the way you do it is you put it in at a…

  • The Fed Rate Hike is here

    For the first time since 2023, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points. This is officially the end of the “rate-cutting era.” Now the bigger question is: What if this isn’t just a one-time hike but the beginning of a new rate-hiking cycle? Consider what’s happening: Inflation is moving in the wrong direction The government is adding more than $2 trillion a year to the National Debt. Even a bond market bailout isn’t making any difference. If this continues, the Fed might be forced to keep rates higher or raise them even further, at a time when the economy can afford it the…

  • Before I share this on YouTube...

    I’m going to talk about this in an upcoming video, but since you’re on my newsletter or applied to the original Index, I wanted to send it to you first. Applications are officially open for something we’ve been working on called The Index Network. A little backstory: At the beginning of 2025, we started The Index with just 12 people with a VIP experience at Disneyland. One of them even sent a framed picture to everyone after. It was an awesome trip. The idea of The Index was pretty simple. Bring together a small group of ambitious entrepreneurs and business owners who could actually talk…

  • I paid off my 2.875% mortgage — Dave Ramsey was right

    I’m taking a huge risk here, by going against everything I’ve said. But sometimes new experiences change your mind and it would be dishonest not to share that. For years, I’ve told people not to pay off their low-interest debt. I’ve told them to keep the sub-3% mortgage for as long as possible and make the minimum payments so that they can take the remaining money and arbitrage it on the markets. And for the first time in my life, I’m starting to think… maybe I was completely wrong. On paper it makes sense. You don’t pay off your 3% mortgage because you could earn way more by investing in the…

  • America’s bond market is on edge

    Something really strange is happening with America’s debt right now. Starting September 9th, the United States is going to begin Operation “borrow-a-ton-of-money,” where we borrow even more money to buy back our own debt, because... nobody else seems to want it. If you think that’s dramatic, here’s one more detail: In less than a week, we officially double the amount of new money that gets borrowed, just to pay back loans made to the US government. What happens when the solution to too much debt just keeps becoming even more debt? That’s what a lot of people — including Ray Dalio — are…

  • The US is preparing for a $1 Trillion bailout

    You better pay attention to what just happened because this is huge. The United States is preparing for up to a $1 Trillion bailout to save the economy. But what makes this even more critical is the timing. This comes at a time when: Stocks are as expensive as they were at the peak of the Dotcom bubble in 2001. Interest rates have been rising out of control . The national debt has surpassed $40 Trillion and yearly interest payments are now more than what we spend on defense — something that hasn’t happened since WWII. Source: Opening Bell Daily It isn’t surprising that people are now…

  • Removing the capital gains tax

    The United States hasn’t lowered its capital gains tax rate in more than two decades. But President Trump just floated the idea of reducing, or even outright eliminating the capital gains tax, ahead of midterm elections. If that actually happens, we could see one of the biggest wealth transfers in American history. The last time something like this happened, the S&P 500 went on to increase more than 70% over the following four years, and created new all-time highs. But what’s the chance of something like this actually passing? If even part of this becomes law, the impact would be enormous…

  • Why the US is intervening in Japan

    On Thursday, July 30th, Japan made a move that shocked global markets. Japan holds so much of their money in US dollars that any significant movement on their part affects us. If they’re forced to sell to prevent their own currency from collapsing, that could trigger an enormous reversal across global markets. The thing is, it’s already started. Japan may have already dumped nearly $59 billion worth of US dollars in its latest attempt to support the yen. Now, the situation has gotten so much worse that the United States has joined them. So today, I’ll break down exactly what happened, why the…

  • The AI bubble and Korea's crash

    Market crashes come unannounced. But there are always signs. One domino collapses across the world, sets off a reaction, and it carries lessons for the rest of the world. In the last few weeks, Korea’s stock market has undergone its fastest and largest drop in history — it fell by more than 20% in the last few weeks, and then recovered a bit. But the signals that showed up before the market crashed in Korea are now showing up right here in the United States. We’re seeing: Extreme concentration in a few stocks A massive rally being carried by AI Record amounts of retail leverage The market…

  • The housing crash that never comes

    Everyone is guilty of trying to buy the dip. Sure, that iPhone is selling at a good price, but maybe it’ll get cheaper during the Black Friday sale. It’s always a good time to buy index funds, but why not wait for a correction? And people do this with the most important, largest purchase they make — a home. For the last few years, people have been waiting with fingers crossed for the market to crash so that they can own a home. Except, what if that never happens? Morgan Stanley just warned last week that we’re going to see a brand new housing market where mortgage rates stay higher…

  • China's housing market has collapsed

    Titles like this are usually clickbait, but I can say without exaggeration that China’s entire housing market has completely collapsed. As I write this, 20 years of gains have been fully wiped out in the blink of an eye. Housing makes up 70% of household wealth in China which means that an estimated $18 Trillion has vanished from the one asset that was never supposed to fall. Source: Bank for International Settlements, Real Residential Property Prices for China [QCNR628BIS], retrieved from FRED , Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis What’s worse is that this collapse isn’t slowing down. Prices…

  • Real estate investing isn't worth it

    Real estate gave me my first break. I achieved financial independence by taking advantage of some smart deals, and even my YouTube channel that let me live life by my own terms was possible only because I shared what I had learned. But I have to be honest about something. When you see early success with something, you get to a point where it’s hard to tell apart the success of the outcome from the success of your approach . I did everything right on paper. I bought years ago, locked in low rates, and held through the real estate boom. So I saw the benefits. But over the last couple of years…

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Data: Substack public leaderboards and publication archives, refreshed nightly, plus public beehiiv sitemaps and recommendation pages, refreshed weekly. Source for this page: Graham’s Newsletter. Subscriber counts are Substack’s own rounded public figures, so week-on-week changes move in steps. beehiiv audience sizes are self-reported by the publisher and are not verified. Last snapshot: Sep 30, 2026.