Rebound Capital
Deep research on beaten-down stocks | The best opportunities exist in uncertain times
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- #99
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- #39
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other newsletters
Most-mentioned tickers
Symbols named in the headline of a post from the last 30 days, most-covered first. The number is how many of those posts mentioned it.
AMATAMZNASMLGOOGKLACLLYLRCXMSFT
Read from 4 post headlines in the last 30 days. A newsletter that names a company only in the body of a post will not appear here, and a mention is not a recommendation — it only means the symbol came up.
Growth history
Subscribers (thousands, nightly)
25K on Sep 10, 2026 → 26K on Oct 21, 2026
Followers (thousands, nightly)
Rank in Substack’s finance leaderboard: #99 today · #93 a week ago · #99 a month ago
Stats worth sharing
Tracked since Sep 10, 2026 — 62 daily snapshots so far. The card below is built from what we track and refreshes nightly.
- Percentile
- Top 19%
- Best rank seen
- #91
- Rank, 7 days
- −6 places
- Followers added
- +3.6K
- Posts
- 9
- Reactions per post
- 34
- Reactions tracked
- 1.0K
- Tickers covered
- 14
of 525 ranked finance newsletters
on Nov 2, 2026
since tracking began
last 30 days
average, recent posts
across 30 posts
in tracked posts
Most-reacted post we have seen: Deep Dive: $ASML — 78 reactions on Oct 24, 2026.
Recent posts
- November 2026 Portfolio Update
Hi there. October has been an interesting month in the equity markets, more so than usual. At RC, seeing the markets crack always gets us excited. We don’t want to sound insensitive, though. Many people lose significant sums when markets fall, and bear markets can hit endowments and pensions hard. These losses don't excite us ( just to be very clear ). What excites us is the opportunity such market drops present. In October, our portfolio rose 2.13% while the S&P 500 fell ~0.9% and QQQ dropped ~5%. We were able to enter into a high-quality semiconductor stock and increase our stake in another…
- Earnings Review: $AMZN and $LLY
In this article, we will review Amazon’s and Lilly’s earnings reports. We will present the overall takeaway from the earnings for the companies, the market and also our current ratings. Amazon ($AMZN) The takeaway: The market has lost patience with the AI trade, especially with the heavy capex spenders. We disagree with the -7% drop in Amazon post-earnings. The stock trades at ~23x this year’s operating profit and ~17x next year’s ( our estimates ). That is not expensive for an AI infrastructure leader, even if they are currently FCF negative. AWS’s revenue growth accelerated to ~39% YoY to…
- Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX
In this article we will review the latest earnings report from Google, Microsoft, Lam Research and KLA Corp. Our focus will be to analyze how the thesis is trending for each of the names, the health of the AI trade ( the health of the market indirectly ) and our key takeaways for our own portfolio companies and the larger market. Alphabet ($GOOG) The takeaway: Google is down ~10% in post-market trading after its recent results. We think this is justified. Despite appearing cheap on PE multiples, there are multiple gray areas in the Google thesis, because of which the stock seemed overvalued…
- Rebound Capital’s Investment Process
Hi there, Thanks for taking out the time to respond to our survey yesterday. Many of you asked how we make investment decisions at Rebound Capital and which companies we pass on. This post walks through our full process, from first idea to final decision and beyond. Here’s what we will cover: The broad situations we look for Where do our ideas come from? Filtering our ideas The deep dive Calculating intrinsic value KPIs and catalysts to track Position sizing After we buy a position How we digest news What our mistakes taught us What we learned from the Amex Salad Oil Crisis In 1963, American…
- Help Improve Rebound Capital
Hi there, We’re working to improve the content and analysis we publish at Rebound Capital, and I’d love your input. If you’ve been reading us for more than a few weeks, please take a moment to fill out this short survey. It’ll take less than 5 minutes and will help us decide what to focus on next. Rebound Capital Survey Thank you! Your feedback directly helps shape the future of…
- Deep Dive: $ASML
Grab a cup of coffee for this one. Arguably, this is the most in-depth research on ASML you can find anywhere :) The chip in the phone you’re reading this on is very likely made with machines from a single Dutch company. So is every advanced chip in the world. This company is ASML. ASML is the only company that can manufacture EUV lithography machines. Each of these sells for ~€230m, and without them, no AI chips can be manufactured. Even at this price, ASML’s customers can’t get machines fast enough, and the company can't meet demand through 2028. ASML's journey is one of the best business…
- Netflix Q3 Earnings Update
- Taking advantage of the semis pullback
Hi there. The recent pullback in semiconductor stocks is driven by a combination of speculative excess being drained out and unnecessary fear psychosis induced by the macro environment, plus Anthropic’s Q3 revenue growth being lower than expected ( revenue of $16.8bn, up 45% on the prior quarter after more than doubling the quarter before ). The last point makes no sense. This is the fastest-growing company ever! Yes, a slowdown is significant for Anthropic investors. But Anthropic and OpenAI alone won't decide the health of the AI trade. As long as AI use cases keep proliferating, the AI…
- Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)
Hi. Today we will share our research on AMAT. This US company is essential to the AI industry. Given the recent weakness in semiconductor stocks, this is a good time to share our full research dossier with you. Applied Materials ($AMAT) is the leading provider of deposition equipment used in wafer fabrication. To understand the full wafer fab equipment value chain, refer to our Industry deep dive. AMAT leads in deposition and has the third-highest market share in the etch process. The key for investors to understand is that both process steps are becoming more complicated as circuits are…
- Notes on 5.3% US 10 Year Yields
There is a big difference between an equity investor seeing up and to the right on a chart and a bond investor seeing the same for bond yields. For the latter, it means a massive loss in bond value. Government bond yields on a tear in the last 5 years On 1st Oct’26, the 10-year US government bond hit ~5.3%, its highest level since the early 2000s. On the same day, the UK and French yields also hit multi-decade highs. The same story is playing out in Japan and other Eurozone countries. Among large economies, China is the main exception ( its 10-year yield is at a 1-year low ). Canada and India…
- Top Rebound Stocks for Oct’26
September has been a tough month for stocks for two key reasons. First is the worsening macroeconomic picture. 10Y bond yields are rising across the developed world, driven by rising oil prices. Neither can be resolved without an end to the hostilities in the Middle East. It is anyone’s guess when that will happen. Secondly, the launch of Meta’s Muse brought to market the first viral use case of consumer AI. The implications for consumer business and platforms are significant. The rise of consumer agents threatens the moats of all businesses that depended on users becoming comfortable with a…
- Deep Dive: Intuit ($INTU)
Intuit is known for developing accounting and tax-filing software. People and businesses assign these workflows only to trusted entities because the downside risk is a potentially lengthy IRS audit. Most people are too busy to risk an audit and will not switch bookkeeping or accounting software. They will pay up and ensure their filings are in order. This high switching cost is the key moat that has enabled Intuit to become one of the world's largest software vendors. Intuit has grown its revenue YoY for 30 of the last 31 years. The one year its revenue dropped was due to an accounting…
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