Rebound Capital
Deep research on beaten-down stocks | The best opportunities exist in uncertain times
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- #103
- Paid leaderboard
- #41
- Subscribers
- 26K
- Paid subscribers
- 1,000+ paid
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- Bestseller 1k
- Followers
- 97K
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- $97/mo
- Recommends
- 23
rounded by Substack
other newsletters
Most-mentioned tickers
Symbols named in the headline of a post from the last 30 days, most-covered first. The number is how many of those posts mentioned it.
Read from 2 post headlines in the last 30 days. A newsletter that names a company only in the body of a post will not appear here, and a mention is not a recommendation — it only means the symbol came up.
Growth history
Subscribers (thousands, nightly)
25K on Sep 10, 2026 → 26K on Oct 21, 2026
Followers (thousands, nightly)
Rank in Substack’s finance leaderboard: #103 today · #101 a week ago · #106 a month ago
Stats worth sharing
Tracked since Sep 10, 2026 — 42 daily snapshots so far. The card below is built from what we track and refreshes nightly.
- Percentile
- Top 20%
- Best rank seen
- #99
- Rank, 7 days
- −2 places
- Rank, 30 days
- +3 places
- Subscribers added
- +1.0K
- Followers added
- +1.5K
- Posts
- 8
- Reactions per post
- 34
- Reactions tracked
- 776
- Tickers covered
- 9
of 525 ranked finance newsletters
on Oct 18, 2026
since tracking began
since tracking began
last 30 days
average, recent posts
across 23 posts
in tracked posts
Most-reacted post we have seen: Industry Deep Dive: Semiconductor Wafer Fab Equipment — 57 reactions on Sep 14, 2026.
Recent posts
- Taking advantage of the semis pullback
Hi there. The recent pullback in semiconductor stocks is driven by a combination of speculative excess being drained out and unnecessary fear psychosis induced by the macro environment, plus Anthropic’s Q3 revenue growth being lower than expected ( revenue of $16.8bn, up 45% on the prior quarter after more than doubling the quarter before ). The last point makes no sense. This is the fastest-growing company ever! Yes, a slowdown is significant for Anthropic investors. But Anthropic and OpenAI alone won't decide the health of the AI trade. As long as AI use cases keep proliferating, the AI…
- Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)
Hi. Today we will share our research on AMAT. This US company is essential to the AI industry. Given the recent weakness in semiconductor stocks, this is a good time to share our full research dossier with you. Applied Materials ($AMAT) is the leading provider of deposition equipment used in wafer fabrication. To understand the full wafer fab equipment value chain, refer to our Industry deep dive. AMAT leads in deposition and has the third-highest market share in the etch process. The key for investors to understand is that both process steps are becoming more complicated as circuits are…
- Notes on 5.3% US 10 Year Yields
There is a big difference between an equity investor seeing up and to the right on a chart and a bond investor seeing the same for bond yields. For the latter, it means a massive loss in bond value. Government bond yields on a tear in the last 5 years On 1st Oct’26, the 10-year US government bond hit ~5.3%, its highest level since the early 2000s. On the same day, the UK and French yields also hit multi-decade highs. The same story is playing out in Japan and other Eurozone countries. Among large economies, China is the main exception ( its 10-year yield is at a 1-year low ). Canada and India…
- Top Rebound Stocks for Oct’26
September has been a tough month for stocks for two key reasons. First is the worsening macroeconomic picture. 10Y bond yields are rising across the developed world, driven by rising oil prices. Neither can be resolved without an end to the hostilities in the Middle East. It is anyone’s guess when that will happen. Secondly, the launch of Meta’s Muse brought to market the first viral use case of consumer AI. The implications for consumer business and platforms are significant. The rise of consumer agents threatens the moats of all businesses that depended on users becoming comfortable with a…
- Deep Dive: Intuit ($INTU)
Intuit is known for developing accounting and tax-filing software. People and businesses assign these workflows only to trusted entities because the downside risk is a potentially lengthy IRS audit. Most people are too busy to risk an audit and will not switch bookkeeping or accounting software. They will pay up and ensure their filings are in order. This high switching cost is the key moat that has enabled Intuit to become one of the world's largest software vendors. Intuit has grown its revenue YoY for 30 of the last 31 years. The one year its revenue dropped was due to an accounting…
- October 2026 Portfolio Update
September has been a tough market for everyone except momentum investors. Only semiconductor stocks are doing well. In the rest of the market, many sectors are trading at multi-year low valuations. Below are a few sector ETFs and their September performance. Semiconductor stocks are doing well due to the AI trade. The Equal Weight S&P 500 dropped much more than the S&P 500 index, driven by broad-based weakness. Consumer discretionary has dropped ~7% There are many more examples. The financials, real estate, materials, utilities, and consumer staples sectors have dropped by (-7%), (-7%)…
- Hindsight Capital
No paywall on this one. It’s a fun thought experiment :) It’s not every day someone does something that makes us go, "We should have done that." Mostly Borrowed Ideas did it with this fun little game called Hindsight Capital. The game is simple - You are presented with a real historical scenario of a company, and you have access to the financials as they were at the time. Each company is in crisis, and you decide whether to invest or pass, and how much of your starting $1M portfolio you will invest in each. The company names are anonymized for obvious reasons. Play the game and then come back…
- Notes on Adyen
Adyen is one of the most frequently requested deep dives by readers. We have spent 2-3 quarters examining the payments space, and it is one of the most dynamic and challenging business segments we have encountered. In this article, we will share our research notes on Adyen and the payments space. Given the complexity of this sector, this can serve as a primer to help you dig deeper. The shares closed at €860 on 23rd Sep’26. This is ~70% below its 2021 peak. Welcome to Rebound Capital. If you are new here, we conduct in-depth research on beaten-down stocks and study companies that have made…
- Trade Alert 21st Sep’26
Hey readers. From now on, we will send short trade alerts whenever we make a change to the RC Portfolio . These posts will be added to our Portfolio Updates tab and will provide an easy way for you to track changes to the RC Portfolio.
- Deep Dive: Grab Holdings ($GRAB)
Grab is one of Southeast Asia’s leading superapps. Its 3 main business segments are Delivery ( food, groceries, and parcels ) at ~53%, Mobility ( cabs, two-wheeler rides, etc. ) at ~36%, and Financial Services ( payments and lending ) at ~10% of FY25 revenue. It’s currently down 55% over the last year. Welcome to Rebound Capital. If you are new here, we conduct in-depth research on beaten-down stocks and study companies that have made successful comebacks. Subscribe for free and join 25,700 other investors to make sure you don’t miss our next briefing. It is operational in 8 countries and was…
- Industry Deep Dive: Semiconductor Wafer Fab Equipment
In this article, we share an industry primer on the machines that enable the creation of semiconductor wafers ( the silicon on which GPU/CPU chips are ‘printed’ ). The companies that sell these machines are few ( ~5 major ones ) in number and underpin the entire AI industry. This enables them to generate superior returns on capital. Roughly $150 billion will be spent on wafer fabrication equipment in calendar 2026, according to our estimates, and three-quarters of it will pass through these companies. We cover how a chip is made, where each dollar of equipment spending goes, and who collects…
- Deep Dive: Innovative Aerosystems ($IA)
The Rollup Playbook Some incredible compounders of the last few decades have built empires by acquiring small companies. Constellation Software in vertical software. TransDigm in aerospace. HEICO is another example. This playbook is difficult because it's easy to pay more than a company is worth. It is human nature to overestimate cost efficiencies or one’s own ability to cross-sell products in a new market. But it is an interesting mental model. A few key features of the successful rollups are: Pool of targets that others ignore: TransDigm buys makers of sole-source parts that are too small…
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Data: Substack public leaderboards and publication archives, refreshed nightly, plus public beehiiv sitemaps and recommendation pages, refreshed weekly. Source for this page: Rebound Capital. Subscriber counts are Substack’s own rounded public figures, so week-on-week changes move in steps. beehiiv audience sizes are self-reported by the publisher and are not verified. Last snapshot: Oct 21, 2026.