Diamonds in the Rough
Cross-referencing fundamental value against technical exhaustion to isolate beaten-down XLI constituents that screen cheap and oversold. The bottom-right quadrant — high earnings yield, low RSI — is the prime hunting ground, especially where money flow (MFI) shows quiet accumulation despite the falling price.
Educational screen, not investment advice. “Diamond” classification is a mechanical valuation-vs-RSI split around the cohort median earnings yield and an RSI of 50.
Alpha Quadrant — Valuation × Technical Exhaustion
X = earnings yield (cheaper right) · Y = RSI 14 (more oversold lower) · bubble = market cap · color = money flow.
Diamond Candidates
Ranked by a composite of earnings yield, ROIC, oversold RSI, recent weakness, and improving money flow.
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EME | EMCOR Group, Inc. | 77.4 | 6.86% | 1.45 | 45 | -9.41% | 63 | safe |
| 2 | FIX | Comfort Systems USA, Inc. | 70.2 | 5.67% | 1.21 | 39 | -24.69% | 53 | safe |
| 3 | CMI | Cummins Inc. | 63.4 | 6.16% | 0.26 | 32 | -12.86% | 34 | safe |
| 4 | BR | Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc | 60.9 | 5.18% | 2.88 | 68 | +12.68% | 72 | safe |
| 5 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | 58.8 | 4.76% | 2.81 | 66 | +8.18% | 71 | safe |
| 6 | XYL | Xylem Inc | 58.4 | 5.77% | 0.59 | 40 | -9.01% | 39 | safe |
| 7 | CAT | Caterpillar Inc. | 57.8 | 4.77% | 0.45 | 35 | -17.30% | 33 | safe |
| 8 | LDOS | Leidos Holdings, Inc. | 57.8 | 9.47% | 0.68 | 46 | +6.66% | 60 | safe |
| 9 | TT | Trane Technologies plc | 56.7 | 4.41% | 1.22 | 43 | -10.50% | 36 | safe |
| 10 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics, Inc. Common Stock | 53.3 | 4.62% | 2.05 | 63 | +12.06% | 64 | safe |
| 11 | LII | Lennox International Inc. | 52.6 | 7.68% | 0.79 | 48 | +0.09% | 50 | safe |
| 12 | JCI | Johnson Controls International plc | 51.0 | 3.20% | 1.53 | 44 | -6.92% | 48 | safe |
| 13 | PNR | Pentair plc | 51.0 | 6.31% | 0.95 | 65 | +29.45% | 76 | safe |
| 14 | AOS | A.O. Smith Corporation | 50.3 | 7.37% | 0.57 | 57 | +9.42% | 64 | safe |
| 15 | UAL | United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | 48.6 | 8.91% | 0.12 | 50 | +10.46% | 59 | distress |
Short-Squeeze Watch
Constituents with the highest composite squeeze score — heavy short interest meeting price support.
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UNP | Union Pacific Corp. | 53.0 | 5.14% | 11.45 | +4.29% | high |
| 2 | AOS | A.O. Smith Corporation | 48.6 | 10.51% | 6.37 | +9.42% | elevated |
| 3 | SNA | Snap-on Incorporated | 48.1 | 7.97% | 7.10 | +0.55% | elevated |
| 4 | ROL | Rollins, Inc. | 47.0 | 8.39% | 3.73 | +16.86% | elevated |
| 5 | PAYX | Paychex Inc | 46.9 | 6.22% | 6.56 | +4.82% | elevated |
| 6 | FDXF | FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. | 43.1 | 4.95% | 3.63 | +21.95% | elevated |
| 7 | ITW | Illinois Tool Works Inc. | 42.8 | 3.62% | 5.80 | +5.52% | elevated |
| 8 | GWW | W.W. Grainger, Inc. | 42.2 | 2.74% | 5.88 | +11.15% | elevated |
| 9 | AXON | Axon Enterprise, Inc. Common Stock | 42.0 | 5.28% | 4.30 | -22.95% | elevated |
| 10 | RSG | Republic Services Inc. | 41.4 | 2.34% | 3.19 | +10.55% | elevated |
| 11 | LII | Lennox International Inc. | 41.3 | 8.71% | 3.21 | +0.09% | elevated |
| 12 | ODFL | Old Dominion Freight Line | 41.0 | 4.94% | 4.27 | -6.31% | elevated |
Market cap, valuation, and short-interest metrics are joined to the latest XLI holdings snapshot; each ticker links to its full quote and analysis page.