AAP Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Outlook: AAPBuySource: Massive API
Composite: 73/100 · Confidence: 59%

AAP is currently showing strong fundamentals with a composite score of 73/100, resulting in a "Buy" outlook. The company has a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating mixed operational signals. The Altman Z-Score of 3.30 places AAP comfortably in the safe zone, suggesting low default risk. On the momentum front, AAP is trending positively with improving quarterly earnings and margins.

Strong Sell (0)Neutral (50)Strong Buy (100)
Piotroski F-Score
7730%
Altman Z-Score
7920%
Earnings Momentum
9530%
Short Sentiment
2520%
Altman Z-Score: Safe zone
3 consecutive quarters of EPS growth
Piotroski F-Score: 6/9
Mixed fundamentals
F1Positive ROA✓ Pass
F3Improving ROA✓ Pass
F5Decreasing Leverage✗ Fail
F6Improving Liquidity✓ Pass
F7No Dilution✓ Pass
F8Improving Gross Margin✓ Pass
F9Improving Asset Turnover✓ Pass
Altman Z-Score: 3.30Safe Zone
Z″-Score (Non-manufacturing)
X1 (WC/TA)0.266
X2 (RE/TA)0.349
X3 (EBIT/TA)0.020
X4 (Eq/TL)0.270
Safe > 2.60 · Grey 1.10–2.60 · Distress < 1.10
Earnings Momentum
Aggregate: +1.50 (range: -2 to +2)
EPS Growth▲▲3 consecutive quarters improving
Revenue Growth1 consecutive quarters
Gross Margin▲▲Expanding
Operating Margin▲▲Expanding
Net Margin▲▲Expanding
Short Sentiment
Score: 25/100 (higher = more bullish)
SI% of Float4/518.5%
Days to Cover4/57.1 days
SVR Trend5/520d−50d: +67.0pts
SI Trend3/5+2.4%
About This Analysis

Piotroski F-Score is a 9-point scoring system developed by accounting professor Joseph Piotroski to assess the financial strength of a company. It evaluates profitability (ROA, operating cash flow, accruals), leverage and liquidity (debt ratio, current ratio, share dilution), and operating efficiency (gross margin, asset turnover). Scores of 7–9 indicate strong fundamentals, while 0–3 suggest weakness.

Altman Z-Score is a formula developed by professor Edward Altman that predicts the probability of a company entering bankruptcy within two years. It combines five financial ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market capitalization, and revenue — all relative to total assets. A score above 2.99 suggests the company is financially safe, while below 1.81 indicates distress. The Z-Score is not applicable to financial-sector companies (banks, insurance).

Earnings Momentum tracks quarter-over-quarter trends in EPS growth, revenue, and profit margins to assess whether a company's financial trajectory is improving or deteriorating. Short Sentiment evaluates bearish market positioning using short interest as a percentage of float, days to cover, and short volume trends — a high score (inverted) indicates bullish sentiment.

ADVANCE AUTO PARTS (AAP) — Fundamental Analysis