ESTC Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Outlook: ESTCBuySource: Massive API
Composite: 71/100 · Confidence: 64%

ESTC's fundamental profile currently indicates strong financial health, scoring 71/100 with a "Buy" rating. The company has a Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, indicating mixed operational signals. The Altman Z-Score of 5.49 places ESTC comfortably in the safe zone, suggesting low default risk. Quarterly earnings trends for ESTC are largely flat, showing neither significant improvement nor decline.

Strong Sell (0)Neutral (50)Strong Buy (100)
Piotroski F-Score
6030%
Altman Z-Score
9920%
Earnings Momentum
8330%
Short Sentiment
4120%
Altman Z-Score: Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score: 5/9
Mixed fundamentals
F1Positive ROA✓ Pass
F3Improving ROA✓ Pass
F5Decreasing Leverage✓ Pass
F6Improving Liquidity✗ Fail
F7No Dilution✗ Fail
F8Improving Gross Margin✓ Pass
F9Improving Asset Turnover✓ Pass
Altman Z-Score: 5.49Safe Zone
Z″-Score (Non-manufacturing)
X1 (WC/TA)0.260
X2 (RE/TA)-0.232
X3 (EBIT/TA)-0.011
X4 (Eq/TL)4.391
Safe > 2.60 · Grey 1.10–2.60 · Distress < 1.10
Earnings Momentum
Aggregate: +0.80 (range: -2 to +2)
EPS Growth2 consecutive quarters improving
Revenue Growth▲▲4 consecutive quarters
Gross MarginStable
Operating Margin▲▲Expanding
Net MarginStable
Short Sentiment
Score: 41/100 (higher = more bullish)
SI% of Float3/57.0%
Days to Cover2/52.7 days
SVR Trend5/520d−50d: +109.7pts
SI Trend4/5+11.5%
About This Analysis

Piotroski F-Score is a 9-point scoring system developed by accounting professor Joseph Piotroski to assess the financial strength of a company. It evaluates profitability (ROA, operating cash flow, accruals), leverage and liquidity (debt ratio, current ratio, share dilution), and operating efficiency (gross margin, asset turnover). Scores of 7–9 indicate strong fundamentals, while 0–3 suggest weakness.

Altman Z-Score is a formula developed by professor Edward Altman that predicts the probability of a company entering bankruptcy within two years. It combines five financial ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market capitalization, and revenue — all relative to total assets. A score above 2.99 suggests the company is financially safe, while below 1.81 indicates distress. The Z-Score is not applicable to financial-sector companies (banks, insurance).

Earnings Momentum tracks quarter-over-quarter trends in EPS growth, revenue, and profit margins to assess whether a company's financial trajectory is improving or deteriorating. Short Sentiment evaluates bearish market positioning using short interest as a percentage of float, days to cover, and short volume trends — a high score (inverted) indicates bullish sentiment.