ULTA Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Outlook: ULTANeutralSource: Massive API
Composite: 57/100 · Confidence: 62%

ULTA is currently showing mixed fundamentals with a composite score of 57/100, resulting in a "Neutral" outlook. ULTA's Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 reflects a mixed picture across profitability and balance-sheet metrics. Its Altman Z-Score sits safely above the distress threshold at 8.40. Recent quarterly results reveal a declining trajectory in earnings and profitability for ULTA.

Strong Sell (0)Neutral (50)Strong Buy (100)
Piotroski F-Score
6030%
Altman Z-Score
10020%
Earnings Momentum
2930%
Short Sentiment
5420%
Altman Z-Score: Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score: 5/9
Mixed fundamentals
F1Positive ROA✓ Pass
F3Improving ROA✓ Pass
F5Decreasing Leverage✗ Fail
F6Improving Liquidity✗ Fail
F7No Dilution✓ Pass
F8Improving Gross Margin✓ Pass
F9Improving Asset Turnover✓ Pass
Altman Z-Score: 8.40Safe Zone
Z″-Score (Non-manufacturing)
X1 (WC/TA)0.104
X2 (RE/TA)0.221
X3 (EBIT/TA)0.229
X4 (Eq/TL)5.196
Safe > 2.60 · Grey 1.10–2.60 · Distress < 1.10
Earnings Momentum
Aggregate: -0.45 (range: -2 to +2)
EPS Growth▼▼0 consecutive quarters improving
Revenue Growth2 consecutive quarters
Gross MarginExpanding
Operating MarginStable
Net MarginStable
Short Sentiment
Score: 54/100 (higher = more bullish)
SI% of Float2/55.4%
Days to Cover3/54.1 days
SVR Trend5/520d−50d: +107.1pts
SI Trend2/5-6.1%
About This Analysis

Piotroski F-Score is a 9-point scoring system developed by accounting professor Joseph Piotroski to assess the financial strength of a company. It evaluates profitability (ROA, operating cash flow, accruals), leverage and liquidity (debt ratio, current ratio, share dilution), and operating efficiency (gross margin, asset turnover). Scores of 7–9 indicate strong fundamentals, while 0–3 suggest weakness.

Altman Z-Score is a formula developed by professor Edward Altman that predicts the probability of a company entering bankruptcy within two years. It combines five financial ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market capitalization, and revenue — all relative to total assets. A score above 2.99 suggests the company is financially safe, while below 1.81 indicates distress. The Z-Score is not applicable to financial-sector companies (banks, insurance).

Earnings Momentum tracks quarter-over-quarter trends in EPS growth, revenue, and profit margins to assess whether a company's financial trajectory is improving or deteriorating. Short Sentiment evaluates bearish market positioning using short interest as a percentage of float, days to cover, and short volume trends — a high score (inverted) indicates bullish sentiment.