Diamonds in the Rough
Cross-referencing fundamental value against technical exhaustion to isolate beaten-down XLB constituents that screen cheap and oversold. The bottom-right quadrant — high earnings yield, low RSI — is the prime hunting ground, especially where money flow (MFI) shows quiet accumulation despite the falling price.
Educational screen, not investment advice. “Diamond” classification is a mechanical valuation-vs-RSI split around the cohort median earnings yield and an RSI of 50.
Alpha Quadrant — Valuation × Technical Exhaustion
X = earnings yield (cheaper right) · Y = RSI 14 (more oversold lower) · bubble = market cap · color = money flow.
Diamond Candidates
Ranked by a composite of earnings yield, ROIC, oversold RSI, recent weakness, and improving money flow.
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEM | Newmont Corporation | 67.4 | 13.59% | 0.35 | 36 | -10.87% | 44 | safe |
| 2 | FCX | Freeport-McMoran Inc. | 65.2 | 6.98% | 0.14 | 34 | -8.90% | 12 | safe |
| 3 | SHW | The Sherwin-Williams Company | 56.3 | 4.26% | 2.50 | 56 | +3.76% | 74 | safe |
| 4 | MOS | The Mosaic Company | 51.1 | 4.15% | 0.03 | 28 | -26.58% | 20 | distress |
| 5 | AVY | Avery Dennison Corp. | 49.2 | 6.89% | 0.61 | 66 | +5.32% | 62 | safe |
| 6 | PPG | PPG Industries, Inc. | 48.1 | 7.32% | 0.31 | 59 | +3.59% | 70 | safe |
| 7 | SW | Smurfit Westrock plc | 46.0 | 4.17% | 0.06 | 44 | -9.57% | 53 | distress |
| 8 | CRH | CRH Public Limited Company | 45.9 | 7.37% | 0.17 | 50 | +0.30% | 54 | grey |
| 9 | ALB | Albemarle Corporation | 45.7 | 3.07% | 0.03 | 29 | -14.85% | 32 | grey |
| 10 | BALL | Ball Corporation | 42.8 | 6.15% | 0.20 | 70 | +10.73% | 77 | grey |
| 11 | NUE | Nucor Corporation | 42.2 | 6.53% | 0.17 | 55 | +4.22% | 61 | safe |
| 12 | CF | CF Industries Holding, Inc. | 42.0 | 16.38% | 0.32 | 53 | -1.05% | 46 | safe |
| 13 | AMCR | Amcor plc Ordinary Shares | 39.3 | 5.46% | 0.20 | 71 | +7.96% | 83 | distress |
| 14 | STLD | Steel Dynamics Inc | 37.8 | 5.43% | 0.15 | 53 | +3.33% | 59 | safe |
| 15 | PKG | Packaging Corp of America | 34.8 | 4.62% | 0.16 | 67 | +2.24% | 85 | safe |
Short-Squeeze Watch
Constituents with the highest composite squeeze score — heavy short interest meeting price support.
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | 55.7 | 7.03% | 8.77 | +9.81% | high |
| 2 | IP | International Paper Co. | 46.8 | 8.49% | 7.85 | -6.85% | elevated |
| 3 | AMCR | Amcor plc Ordinary Shares | 45.1 | 4.68% | 6.55 | +7.96% | elevated |
| 4 | ALB | Albemarle Corporation | 43.4 | 10.01% | 4.51 | -14.85% | elevated |
| 5 | LYB | LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A | 41.9 | 4.83% | 3.25 | +9.40% | elevated |
| 6 | SW | Smurfit Westrock plc | 41.6 | 5.06% | 5.52 | -9.57% | elevated |
| 7 | PKG | Packaging Corp of America | 40.1 | 3.39% | 4.86 | +2.24% | elevated |
| 8 | DOW | Dow Inc. | 38.7 | 4.73% | 3.60 | +12.84% | elevated |
| 9 | CF | CF Industries Holding, Inc. | 38.3 | 6.53% | 3.83 | -1.05% | elevated |
| 10 | MLM | Martin Marietta Materials | 38.1 | 5.34% | 3.30 | +3.72% | elevated |
| 11 | MOS | The Mosaic Company | 37.0 | 9.71% | 3.79 | -26.58% | elevated |
| 12 | STLD | Steel Dynamics Inc | 34.5 | 3.00% | 3.80 | +3.33% | elevated |
Market cap, valuation, and short-interest metrics are joined to the latest XLB holdings snapshot; each ticker links to its full quote and analysis page.