Diamonds in the Rough
Cross-referencing fundamental value against technical exhaustion to isolate beaten-down XLB constituents that screen cheap and oversold. The bottom-right quadrant — high earnings yield, low RSI — is the prime hunting ground, especially where money flow (MFI) shows quiet accumulation despite the falling price.
Educational screen, not investment advice. “Diamond” classification is a mechanical valuation-vs-RSI split around the cohort median earnings yield and an RSI of 50.
Alpha Quadrant — Valuation × Technical Exhaustion
X = earnings yield (cheaper right) · Y = RSI 14 (more oversold lower) · bubble = market cap · color = money flow.
Diamond Candidates
Ranked by a composite of earnings yield, ROIC, oversold RSI, recent weakness, and improving money flow.
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FCX | Freeport-McMoran Inc. | 65.2 | 8.10% | 0.15 | 37 | -12.24% | 46 | grey |
| 2 | STLD | Steel Dynamics Inc | 55.9 | 7.12% | 0.18 | 43 | -5.45% | 48 | safe |
| 3 | ALB | Albemarle Corporation | 53.5 | 6.43% | 0.07 | 41 | -3.58% | 52 | grey |
| 4 | NEM | Newmont Corporation | 53.2 | 13.06% | 0.35 | 46 | +0.63% | 57 | safe |
| 5 | PPG | PPG Industries, Inc. | 48.0 | 6.97% | 0.32 | 60 | +15.66% | 66 | safe |
| 6 | NUE | Nucor Corporation | 47.7 | 6.74% | 0.17 | 45 | -2.00% | 45 | safe |
| 7 | SHW | The Sherwin-Williams Company | 46.1 | 4.18% | 2.86 | 55 | +5.96% | 45 | safe |
| 8 | IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | 46.0 | 3.03% | 0.10 | 35 | -9.82% | 21 | safe |
| 9 | AVY | Avery Dennison Corp. | 44.3 | 6.77% | 0.59 | 61 | +7.56% | 54 | safe |
| 10 | CF | CF Industries Holding, Inc. | 43.3 | 17.14% | 0.33 | 59 | +4.29% | 55 | safe |
| 11 | CRH | CRH Public Limited Company | 41.9 | 6.76% | 0.17 | 55 | +15.53% | 58 | grey |
| 12 | AMCR | Amcor plc Ordinary Shares | 40.4 | 5.43% | 0.18 | 44 | +1.55% | 44 | distress |
| 13 | LYB | LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A | 37.5 | 9.22% | 0.13 | 54 | +4.99% | 26 | grey |
| 14 | SW | Smurfit Westrock plc | 33.1 | 4.05% | 0.06 | 45 | +1.83% | 50 | distress |
| 15 | ECL | Ecolab, Inc. | 30.1 | 2.93% | 0.55 | 62 | +5.86% | 68 | safe |
Short-Squeeze Watch
Constituents with the highest composite squeeze score — heavy short interest meeting price support.
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IP | International Paper Co. | 49.3 | 8.75% | 7.48 | +3.55% | elevated |
| 2 | IFF | International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. | 46.6 | 6.68% | 6.93 | -9.82% | elevated |
| 3 | ALB | Albemarle Corporation | 46.0 | 10.55% | 5.28 | -3.58% | elevated |
| 4 | CF | CF Industries Holding, Inc. | 44.4 | 5.92% | 5.12 | +4.29% | elevated |
| 5 | LYB | LyondellBasell Industries N.V. Class A | 44.0 | 4.25% | 3.19 | +4.99% | elevated |
| 6 | AMCR | Amcor plc Ordinary Shares | 43.5 | 4.95% | 7.01 | +1.55% | elevated |
| 7 | MOS | The Mosaic Company | 39.6 | 12.08% | 3.40 | +14.76% | elevated |
| 8 | MLM | Martin Marietta Materials | 39.4 | 5.65% | 3.66 | +7.45% | elevated |
| 9 | DOW | Dow Inc. | 38.3 | 3.82% | 3.03 | +12.65% | elevated |
| 10 | APD | Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. | 36.5 | 2.15% | 4.72 | +7.41% | elevated |
| 11 | SW | Smurfit Westrock plc | 36.5 | 4.68% | 4.30 | +1.83% | elevated |
| 12 | STLD | Steel Dynamics Inc | 34.3 | 2.85% | 3.32 | -5.45% | elevated |
Market cap, valuation, and short-interest metrics are joined to the latest XLB holdings snapshot; each ticker links to its full quote and analysis page.