Diamonds in the Rough
Cross-referencing fundamental value against technical exhaustion to isolate beaten-down XLE constituents that screen cheap and oversold. The bottom-right quadrant — high earnings yield, low RSI — is the prime hunting ground, especially where money flow (MFI) shows quiet accumulation despite the falling price.
Educational screen, not investment advice. “Diamond” classification is a mechanical valuation-vs-RSI split around the cohort median earnings yield and an RSI of 50.
Alpha Quadrant — Valuation × Technical Exhaustion
X = earnings yield (cheaper right) · Y = RSI 14 (more oversold lower) · bubble = market cap · color = money flow.
Diamond Candidates
Ranked by a composite of earnings yield, ROIC, oversold RSI, recent weakness, and improving money flow.
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VLO | Valero Energy Corporation | 57.1 | 16.41% | 0.43 | 47 | -16.80% | 29 | safe |
| 2 | MPC | MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION | 56.2 | 15.56% | 0.40 | 48 | -13.83% | 29 | safe |
| 3 | PSX | PHILLIPS 66 | 54.0 | 10.60% | 0.26 | 49 | -10.20% | 40 | safe |
| 4 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 53.3 | 3.70% | 0.77 | 38 | -17.91% | 41 | safe |
| 5 | BKR | Baker Hughes Company | 53.2 | 5.11% | 0.30 | 40 | -10.39% | 31 | grey |
| 6 | OKE | Oneok, Inc. | 51.3 | 7.14% | 0.13 | 47 | -3.09% | 54 | distress |
| 7 | DVN | Devon Energy Corporation | 50.7 | 9.25% | 0.10 | 48 | -6.95% | 46 | distress |
| 8 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 49.2 | 9.94% | 0.10 | 47 | -4.94% | 44 | grey |
| 9 | XOM | ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation | 47.8 | 7.37% | 0.15 | 48 | -4.50% | 39 | safe |
| 10 | EXE | Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock | 47.3 | 10.67% | 0.11 | 47 | -3.40% | 32 | grey |
| 11 | EOG | EOG Resources, Inc. | 43.6 | 12.58% | 0.22 | 58 | +2.14% | 58 | safe |
| 12 | EQT | EQT CORP | 42.9 | 10.27% | 0.12 | 50 | +0.13% | 48 | grey |
| 13 | HAL | Halliburton Company | 41.1 | 8.50% | 0.25 | 52 | +3.11% | 47 | safe |
| 14 | CVX | Chevron Corporation | 40.8 | 7.62% | 0.15 | 52 | -1.31% | 39 | safe |
| 15 | KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | 39.5 | 5.14% | 0.14 | 48 | -5.42% | 35 | distress |
Short-Squeeze Watch
Constituents with the highest composite squeeze score — heavy short interest meeting price support.
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 57.4 | 6.18% | 14.01 | -17.91% | high |
| 2 | OKE | Oneok, Inc. | 53.5 | 4.33% | 9.56 | -3.09% | high |
| 3 | TRGP | Targa Resources Corp. | 46.7 | 3.11% | 5.60 | +1.97% | elevated |
| 4 | EOG | EOG Resources, Inc. | 46.7 | 3.20% | 6.46 | +2.14% | elevated |
| 5 | APA | APA Corporation Common Stock | 44.4 | 6.67% | 4.32 | +2.17% | elevated |
| 6 | FANG | Diamondback Energy, Inc. | 40.8 | 3.34% | 4.31 | -7.29% | elevated |
| 7 | SLB | SLB Limited | 38.5 | 3.88% | 4.49 | +7.04% | elevated |
| 8 | EXE | Expand Energy Corporation Common Stock | 37.3 | 5.05% | 3.28 | -3.40% | elevated |
| 9 | KMI | Kinder Morgan, Inc. | 36.1 | 2.22% | 2.52 | -5.42% | elevated |
| 10 | HAL | Halliburton Company | 35.6 | 3.98% | 2.80 | +3.11% | elevated |
| 11 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corporation | 35.2 | 2.70% | 3.16 | -4.94% | elevated |
| 12 | MPC | MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION | 35.1 | 2.19% | 3.00 | -13.83% | elevated |
Market cap, valuation, and short-interest metrics are joined to the latest XLE holdings snapshot; each ticker links to its full quote and analysis page.