Opportunity Scan

Diamonds in the Rough

Cross-referencing fundamental value against technical exhaustion to isolate beaten-down XLE constituents that screen cheap and oversold. The bottom-right quadrant — high earnings yield, low RSI — is the prime hunting ground, especially where money flow (MFI) shows quiet accumulation despite the falling price.

4 in diamond zone21 scored

Educational screen, not investment advice. “Diamond” classification is a mechanical valuation-vs-RSI split around the cohort median earnings yield and an RSI of 50.

Alpha Quadrant — Valuation × Technical Exhaustion

X = earnings yield (cheaper right) · Y = RSI 14 (more oversold lower) · bubble = market cap · color = money flow.

Accumulation (MFI ≥ 55)Neutral flowDistribution (MFI ≤ 45)Diamond-zone ring
◆ Diamond in the RoughCheap + oversold. Deep value in a technically exhausted state — the prime target.
Fairly Valued WinnerCheap + extended. Strong action backed by earnings, but late for new entries.
Value TrapExpensive + beaten down. Falling yet still richly valued — structurally suspect.
Momentum DarlingExpensive + extended. Crowded leaders with mean-reversion risk.

Diamond Candidates

Ranked by a composite of earnings yield, ROIC, oversold RSI, recent weakness, and improving money flow.

#
1KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.58.56.99%0.1441-4.12%54distress
2FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.49.77.83%0.0850+1.43%62distress
3HALHalliburton Company49.77.38%0.2249+3.68%57safe
4OKEOneok, Inc.48.06.43%0.1349+0.92%63distress
5APAAPA Corporation Common Stock47.114.19%0.2158+19.41%66distress
6TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation44.72.32%1.0048-10.38%57safe
7EXEExpand Energy Corporation Common Stock44.614.94%0.1553+3.03%57grey
8EOGEOG Resources, Inc.42.47.85%0.1454+2.68%55safe
9XOMExxonMobil Holdings Corporation41.36.68%0.1356+4.95%58safe
10COPConocoPhillips39.85.76%0.1166+12.47%73safe
11EQTEQT CORP39.510.46%0.1257+2.99%52grey
12VLOValero Energy Corporation39.25.64%0.1663+15.10%64safe
13DVNDevon Energy Corporation38.05.33%0.1455+7.00%66grey
14OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation37.35.25%0.0653+5.17%62distress
15MPCMARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION37.15.12%0.1565+15.72%68safe

Short-Squeeze Watch

Constituents with the highest composite squeeze score — heavy short interest meeting price support.

#
1TPLTexas Pacific Land Corporation58.77.55%15.77-10.38%high
2OKEOneok, Inc.46.04.72%8.11+0.92%elevated
3APAAPA Corporation Common Stock45.08.58%5.84+19.41%elevated
4FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.40.54.23%4.55+1.43%elevated
5EOGEOG Resources, Inc.39.83.25%5.78+2.68%elevated
6KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.35.92.35%4.12-4.12%elevated
7TRGPTarga Resources Corp.32.92.18%4.00+3.79%elevated
8WMBWilliams Companies Inc.31.62.18%3.99-2.39%elevated
9VLOValero Energy Corporation31.63.08%3.57+15.10%elevated
10MPCMARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION31.32.33%3.38+15.72%elevated
11SLBSLB Limited31.03.75%3.85+1.89%elevated
12EXEExpand Energy Corporation Common Stock29.53.61%2.11+3.03%elevated

Market cap, valuation, and short-interest metrics are joined to the latest XLE holdings snapshot; each ticker links to its full quote and analysis page.