MRNA Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Outlook: MRNASellSource: Massive API
Composite: 35/100 · Confidence: 59%

MRNA is currently showing significant fundamental weakness with a composite score of 35/100, resulting in a "Sell" outlook. Scoring just 2/9 on the Piotroski F-Score, MRNA shows concerning weakness in profitability and operational health. With an Altman Z-Score of 3.80, MRNA is well within the safe zone for bankruptcy risk. Earnings analysis shows negative earnings momentum with declining financial trends.

Strong Sell (0)Neutral (50)Strong Buy (100)
Piotroski F-Score
1230%
Altman Z-Score
8920%
Earnings Momentum
1030%
Short Sentiment
5320%
Altman Z-Score: Safe zone
Piotroski F-Score: Weak (0–2)
Piotroski F-Score: 2/9
Weak fundamentals
F1Positive ROA✗ Fail
F3Improving ROA✗ Fail
F5Decreasing Leverage✗ Fail
F6Improving Liquidity✗ Fail
F7No Dilution✗ Fail
F8Improving Gross Margin✓ Pass
F9Improving Asset Turnover✓ Pass
Altman Z-Score: 3.80Safe Zone
Original Z-Score (Manufacturing)
X1 (WC/TA)0.299
X2 (RE/TA)0.465
X3 (EBIT/TA)-0.303
X4 (MktCap/TL)5.985
X5 (Rev/TA)0.203
Safe > 2.99 · Grey 1.81–2.99 · Distress < 1.81
Earnings Momentum
Aggregate: -1.10 (range: -2 to +2)
EPS Growth1 consecutive quarters improving
Revenue Growth▼▼0 consecutive quarters
Gross MarginStable
Operating Margin▼▼Contracting
Net Margin▼▼Contracting
Short Sentiment
Score: 53/100 (higher = more bullish)
SI% of Float3/513.8%
Days to Cover5/510.2 days
SVR Trend1/520d−50d: -162.1pts
SI Trend2/5-5.0%
About This Analysis

Piotroski F-Score is a 9-point scoring system developed by accounting professor Joseph Piotroski to assess the financial strength of a company. It evaluates profitability (ROA, operating cash flow, accruals), leverage and liquidity (debt ratio, current ratio, share dilution), and operating efficiency (gross margin, asset turnover). Scores of 7–9 indicate strong fundamentals, while 0–3 suggest weakness.

Altman Z-Score is a formula developed by professor Edward Altman that predicts the probability of a company entering bankruptcy within two years. It combines five financial ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market capitalization, and revenue — all relative to total assets. A score above 2.99 suggests the company is financially safe, while below 1.81 indicates distress. The Z-Score is not applicable to financial-sector companies (banks, insurance).

Earnings Momentum tracks quarter-over-quarter trends in EPS growth, revenue, and profit margins to assess whether a company's financial trajectory is improving or deteriorating. Short Sentiment evaluates bearish market positioning using short interest as a percentage of float, days to cover, and short volume trends — a high score (inverted) indicates bullish sentiment.

Moderna (MRNA) — Fundamental Analysis