Diamonds in the Rough
Cross-referencing fundamental value against technical exhaustion to isolate beaten-down XLF constituents that screen cheap and oversold. The bottom-right quadrant — high earnings yield, low RSI — is the prime hunting ground, especially where money flow (MFI) shows quiet accumulation despite the falling price.
Educational screen, not investment advice. “Diamond” classification is a mechanical valuation-vs-RSI split around the cohort median earnings yield and an RSI of 50.
Alpha Quadrant — Valuation × Technical Exhaustion
X = earnings yield (cheaper right) · Y = RSI 14 (more oversold lower) · bubble = market cap · color = money flow.
Diamond Candidates
Ranked by a composite of earnings yield, ROIC, oversold RSI, recent weakness, and improving money flow.
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AON | Aon plc Class A | 87.7 | 6.55% | 2.82 | 25 | -17.78% | 24 | grey |
| 2 | CINF | Cincinnati Financial Corp | 84.6 | 17.52% | 4.56 | 35 | -4.95% | 10 | safe |
| 3 | JKHY | Henry (Jack) & Associates | 81.9 | 6.34% | 2.03 | 31 | -14.91% | 23 | safe |
| 4 | GL | Globe Life Inc. | 79.8 | 10.62% | 2.06 | 33 | -4.14% | 30 | grey |
| 5 | MCO | Moody's Corporation | 77.3 | 4.46% | 2.63 | 30 | -10.38% | 37 | safe |
| 6 | MRSH | Marsh | 75.8 | 6.04% | 1.60 | 35 | -9.79% | 24 | safe |
| 7 | WTW | Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares | 75.3 | 7.08% | 1.03 | 29 | -14.52% | 11 | grey |
| 8 | FISV | Fiserv, Inc. Common Stock | 75.2 | 8.79% | 1.02 | 29 | -14.25% | 20 | grey |
| 9 | BRO | Brown & Brown, Inc. | 73.6 | 6.24% | 1.24 | 30 | -17.52% | 13 | grey |
| 10 | EG | Everest Group, Ltd. | 73.2 | 14.39% | 2.72 | 45 | -3.14% | 28 | distress |
| 11 | NDAQ | Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock | 73.1 | 4.41% | 3.26 | 38 | -7.40% | 49 | safe |
| 12 | HIG | The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | 73.1 | 13.59% | 1.16 | 37 | -8.54% | 26 | grey |
| 13 | BLK | Blackrock, Inc. | 71.7 | 4.66% | 2.87 | 43 | -6.13% | 55 | grey |
| 14 | ERIE | Erie Indemnity Co | 71.0 | 7.30% | 0.60 | 35 | -14.01% | 13 | safe |
| 15 | TROW | T Rowe Price Group Inc | 67.4 | 12.24% | 0.55 | 42 | -4.27% | 65 | safe |
Short-Squeeze Watch
Constituents with the highest composite squeeze score — heavy short interest meeting price support.
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ERIE | Erie Indemnity Co | 66.1 | 9.48% | 12.86 | -14.01% | high |
| 2 | TROW | T Rowe Price Group Inc | 61.2 | 13.08% | 20.36 | -4.27% | high |
| 3 | APO | Apollo Global Management, Inc. | 57.3 | 5.45% | 10.31 | -13.13% | high |
| 4 | ARES | Ares Management Corporation Class A Common Stock | 51.9 | 7.58% | 8.68 | -14.84% | high |
| 5 | GPN | Global Payments, Inc. | 50.7 | 7.41% | 7.26 | -13.19% | high |
| 6 | PRU | Prudential Financial, Inc. | 50.3 | 4.39% | 10.43 | -4.09% | high |
| 7 | RF | Regions Financial Corp. | 49.0 | 6.50% | 8.16 | -8.17% | elevated |
| 8 | BEN | Franklin Templeton, Inc. | 48.6 | 6.18% | 5.20 | -0.82% | elevated |
| 9 | WRB | W.R. Berkley Corporation | 46.3 | 5.57% | 5.68 | +1.20% | elevated |
| 10 | FDS | Factset Research Systems | 45.5 | 10.91% | 3.95 | -11.77% | elevated |
| 11 | CPAY | Corpay, Inc. | 45.5 | 4.94% | 7.32 | -3.22% | elevated |
| 12 | EG | Everest Group, Ltd. | 45.4 | 6.27% | 5.36 | -3.14% | elevated |
Market cap, valuation, and short-interest metrics are joined to the latest XLF holdings snapshot; each ticker links to its full quote and analysis page.