Diamonds in the Rough
Cross-referencing fundamental value against technical exhaustion to isolate beaten-down XLF constituents that screen cheap and oversold. The bottom-right quadrant — high earnings yield, low RSI — is the prime hunting ground, especially where money flow (MFI) shows quiet accumulation despite the falling price.
Educational screen, not investment advice. “Diamond” classification is a mechanical valuation-vs-RSI split around the cohort median earnings yield and an RSI of 50.
Alpha Quadrant — Valuation × Technical Exhaustion
X = earnings yield (cheaper right) · Y = RSI 14 (more oversold lower) · bubble = market cap · color = money flow.
Diamond Candidates
Ranked by a composite of earnings yield, ROIC, oversold RSI, recent weakness, and improving money flow.
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CINF | Cincinnati Financial Corp | 77.8 | 13.73% | 7.73 | 44 | -6.50% | 44 | safe |
| 2 | AFL | Aflac Inc. | 64.4 | 6.81% | 0.33 | 35 | -7.43% | 37 | safe |
| 3 | EG | Everest Group, Ltd. | 62.7 | 12.04% | 4.49 | 55 | -2.50% | 43 | distress |
| 4 | L | Loews Corporation | 60.5 | 8.13% | 0.17 | 38 | -6.90% | 31 | distress |
| 5 | WRB | W.R. Berkley Corporation | 60.1 | 9.10% | -- | 39 | -8.77% | 39 | grey |
| 6 | HIG | The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | 55.5 | 12.49% | 1.18 | 48 | -1.83% | 21 | grey |
| 7 | ICE | Intercontinental Exchange Inc. | 55.3 | 4.87% | 2.09 | 73 | +10.24% | 79 | distress |
| 8 | MTB | M&T Bank Corp. | 54.0 | 7.22% | 0.07 | 41 | -3.94% | 34 | grey |
| 9 | KEY | KeyCorp | 53.6 | 6.35% | 0.04 | 37 | -3.40% | 41 | grey |
| 10 | MCO | Moody's Corporation | 53.2 | 3.64% | 2.62 | 67 | +7.13% | 77 | safe |
| 11 | GL | Globe Life Inc. | 51.3 | 9.76% | -- | 40 | -1.03% | 37 | grey |
| 12 | PRU | Prudential Financial, Inc. | 50.8 | 7.63% | 0.02 | 48 | -0.39% | 62 | grey |
| 13 | MA | Mastercard Incorporated | 49.9 | 3.65% | 14.43 | 73 | +10.34% | 58 | safe |
| 14 | TROW | T Rowe Price Group Inc | 49.9 | 10.97% | 0.46 | 49 | -4.23% | 30 | safe |
| 15 | JKHY | Henry (Jack) & Associates | 49.9 | 5.23% | 1.43 | 72 | +14.44% | 64 | safe |
Short-Squeeze Watch
Constituents with the highest composite squeeze score — heavy short interest meeting price support.
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ERIE | Erie Indemnity Co | 65.5 | 11.30% | 8.89 | +15.10% | high |
| 2 | TROW | T Rowe Price Group Inc | 60.5 | 12.10% | 12.38 | -4.23% | high |
| 3 | BEN | Franklin Resources, Inc. | 53.3 | 7.79% | 4.17 | +6.57% | high |
| 4 | APO | Apollo Global Management, Inc. | 49.4 | 5.55% | 5.83 | +8.28% | elevated |
| 5 | WRB | W.R. Berkley Corporation | 48.3 | 5.62% | 7.27 | -8.77% | elevated |
| 6 | GPN | Global Payments, Inc. | 47.8 | 7.63% | 5.38 | +14.39% | elevated |
| 7 | COIN | Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 46.7 | 10.15% | 2.72 | +14.60% | elevated |
| 8 | RJF | Raymond James Financial, Inc. | 46.1 | 5.19% | 6.51 | +2.24% | elevated |
| 9 | ARES | Ares Management Corporation Class A Common Stock | 46.0 | 6.55% | 6.08 | +12.84% | elevated |
| 10 | JKHY | Henry (Jack) & Associates | 45.3 | 6.42% | 4.90 | +14.44% | elevated |
| 11 | SYF | SYNCHRONY FINANCIAL | 43.5 | 5.84% | 4.44 | +9.37% | elevated |
| 12 | BRO | Brown & Brown, Inc. | 43.4 | 5.62% | 4.86 | +7.41% | elevated |
Market cap, valuation, and short-interest metrics are joined to the latest XLF holdings snapshot; each ticker links to its full quote and analysis page.