Diamonds in the Rough
Cross-referencing fundamental value against technical exhaustion to isolate beaten-down XLF constituents that screen cheap and oversold. The bottom-right quadrant — high earnings yield, low RSI — is the prime hunting ground, especially where money flow (MFI) shows quiet accumulation despite the falling price.
Educational screen, not investment advice. “Diamond” classification is a mechanical valuation-vs-RSI split around the cohort median earnings yield and an RSI of 50.
Alpha Quadrant — Valuation × Technical Exhaustion
X = earnings yield (cheaper right) · Y = RSI 14 (more oversold lower) · bubble = market cap · color = money flow.
Diamond Candidates
Ranked by a composite of earnings yield, ROIC, oversold RSI, recent weakness, and improving money flow.
| # | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CINF | Cincinnati Financial Corp | 70.0 | 11.62% | 8.68 | 69 | +11.64% | 81 | safe |
| 2 | EG | Everest Group, Ltd. | 70.0 | 13.05% | 2.72 | 68 | +11.89% | 78 | distress |
| 3 | GL | Globe Life Inc. | 69.8 | 11.05% | 2.06 | 46 | -5.24% | 46 | grey |
| 4 | MRSH | Marsh | 57.5 | 5.18% | 2.16 | 66 | +13.67% | 86 | safe |
| 5 | FIS | Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. | 57.0 | 6.01% | -- | 38 | -18.85% | 39 | distress |
| 6 | NDAQ | Nasdaq, Inc. Common Stock | 54.9 | 4.00% | 3.51 | 65 | +16.58% | 65 | safe |
| 7 | MA | Mastercard Incorporated | 52.3 | 3.61% | 7.27 | 64 | +8.39% | 63 | safe |
| 8 | WTW | Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Ordinary Shares | 52.1 | 6.36% | 1.03 | 62 | +10.72% | 68 | grey |
| 9 | COF | Capital One Financial | 50.8 | 8.27% | 0.11 | 41 | -0.40% | 29 | distress |
| 10 | SYF | SYNCHRONY FINANCIAL | 50.5 | 18.48% | 0.22 | 43 | -0.12% | 48 | grey |
| 11 | AFL | Aflac Inc. | 49.3 | 8.19% | 0.43 | 68 | +6.34% | 72 | safe |
| 12 | PYPL | PayPal Holdings, Inc. Common Stock | 49.1 | 10.49% | 0.41 | 58 | +6.54% | 75 | safe |
| 13 | V | VISA Inc. | 48.5 | 3.50% | 7.09 | 63 | +7.34% | 57 | safe |
| 14 | JKHY | Henry (Jack) & Associates | 47.8 | 5.29% | 1.57 | 67 | +14.15% | 56 | safe |
| 15 | MCO | Moody's Corporation | 46.9 | 3.92% | 2.11 | 58 | +8.42% | 57 | safe |
Short-Squeeze Watch
Constituents with the highest composite squeeze score — heavy short interest meeting price support.
| # | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ERIE | Erie Indemnity Co | 68.2 | 9.88% | 11.60 | +17.48% | high |
| 2 | TROW | T Rowe Price Group Inc | 60.9 | 12.98% | 12.57 | +8.51% | high |
| 3 | CPAY | Corpay, Inc. | 50.6 | 5.65% | 8.83 | +16.50% | high |
| 4 | FDS | Factset Research Systems | 49.3 | 10.96% | 5.66 | +12.97% | elevated |
| 5 | BEN | Franklin Templeton, Inc. | 47.5 | 6.31% | 5.24 | +17.79% | elevated |
| 6 | JKHY | Henry (Jack) & Associates | 46.9 | 6.70% | 6.01 | +14.15% | elevated |
| 7 | ARES | Ares Management Corporation Class A Common Stock | 46.4 | 7.15% | 6.67 | +19.31% | elevated |
| 8 | PRU | Prudential Financial, Inc. | 45.1 | 3.92% | 7.66 | +7.92% | elevated |
| 9 | APO | Apollo Global Management, Inc. | 44.3 | 4.98% | 6.28 | +8.78% | elevated |
| 10 | BRO | Brown & Brown, Inc. | 44.0 | 5.66% | 5.24 | +8.62% | elevated |
| 11 | L | Loews Corporation | 43.4 | 2.42% | 6.77 | +1.06% | elevated |
| 12 | RF | Regions Financial Corp. | 42.5 | 7.61% | 5.33 | +5.02% | elevated |
Market cap, valuation, and short-interest metrics are joined to the latest XLF holdings snapshot; each ticker links to its full quote and analysis page.